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Strong quarter for transportation | Seeking Alpha


Aug 8, 2022
Todd Sullivan profile picture


sefa ozel

Transport issues report surprisingly strong quarters with raised guidance. FedEx (FDX), XPO Logistics (XPO), GXO Logistics (GXO) and Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings (KNX) are current suggestions. Manufacturing New Orders for Motor Vehicles/Parts has ticked to all-time highs. The Trucking Tonnage Index (TTI) is in an uptrend. Vehicles and parts remain in high demand. Allied Motion Technologies (AMOT), Cooper-Standard Holdings (CPS), Camping World Holdings (CWH), Thor Industries (THO) and LCI Industries (LCII), which are related to consumer demand, remain current suggestions.

Signs are present that professional investors have hedged more than any time in past cycles. It is worth repeating the cash versus equity allocation is at levels higher than 2008. When one adds all these pieces together, the over-the-top recession fear baked into prices is about as overdone as carbonized toast.

Net percentage taking higher-than-normal risk levels

Net % Taking Higher Than Normal Risk Levels

Source: Blooomberg

Manufacturers' new orders: Motor vehicles and parts

Manufacturers’ New Orders: Motor Vehicles And Parts (St. Louis Fed)

Retail sales versus trucking tonnage index

Retail Sales Vs. Trucking Tonnage Index (St. Louis Fed)

When this sentiment turns, it is likely to be a quick turn, with equities rising sharply. Adding to existing positions is recommended.

Original Post

Editor’s Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha editors.


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