• Mon. Oct 14th, 2024

A Week in the Market: Chinese Statistics and Oil Forecasts (16-20 January) – R Blog

ByAnna Rostova

Jan 16, 2023
USD: asylum status activated

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There will not be much statistical data this week. A holiday Monday in the USA and the anticipation of the Fed meeting at the beginning of February create conditions for saving strength and the currency section can take advantage of this.

USD: asylum status activated

The key publications of this five-day period are the release of retail sales data and US industrial production for December. In both cases a deterioration of the economy is expected, which could lead investors to seek a refuge from risk, e.g. in the USD. This could strengthen the position of the American currency.

GBP: signals of economic weakness

GBP: signals of economic weakness

The UK will release a block of price reports – from general inflation for December to its components. In addition, the market awaits information on the employment sector. The consumer price index is likely to adjust after soaring to 10.7% y/y. The labour market will also remain neutral, but there will be little support for GBP in this.

JPY: interventions in focus

JPY: interventions in focus

The Bank of Japan meeting is likely to decide to keep interest rates unchanged and comments on interventions will be made. Cash injections are keeping the yen strong, but this is temporary: once the interventions stop, the JPY will revert to a devaluation strategy.

Brent: it’s all about forecasts

Brent: it's all about forecasts

The commodity market awaits updated oil forecasts from the IEA and OPEC. Earlier, the US Department of Energy updated the forecasts: the average Brent price in 2023 was lowered. If data and expectations are cautious, the Brent price could accelerate the correction.

China: all risks

China: all risks

China has been a key newsmaker recently, opening its borders and easing covid restrictions, then creating conditions for increased oil consumption. This week China will release its retail sales and industrial production statistics for December as well as its GDP figures for the fourth quarter. The economy, according to average expectations, grew by 1.8% y/y – this has the potential to “spoil the mood” for risk-linked assets.

Material is prepared by

A Forex trader with a more than 10-years experience in leading investment banks. She gives her weighted view of markets through analytical articles, regularly published by RoboForex and other popular financial sources.

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Image and article originally from blog.roboforex.com. Read the original article here.